{"id":1058,"date":"2021-10-19T00:16:44","date_gmt":"2021-10-19T06:16:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/?p=1058"},"modified":"2021-10-29T16:41:21","modified_gmt":"2021-10-29T22:41:21","slug":"2021-gsoc-masters-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/2021-gsoc-masters-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"2021 GSOC Masters preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Not much time for me this week so I&#8217;ll just leave you with some probability tables based on the latest ratings for the first slam of the season, the Masters. (Naming the slams after golf tournaments is my least favorite thing about the slams, BTW.) It&#8217;s a triple-knockout format leading to an 8-team playoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are the numbers for the women:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted prob-table\"><strong>Rk  Rating  Team      Playoffs Title  CB odds<\/strong>\n 1  11.44   Tirinzoni   83.1%  19.0%    +675\n 2  11.33   Einarson    79.6   15.2     +550\n 3  11.31   Homan       81.3   14.6     +800\n 4  11.20   Kovaleva    72.3   11.7    +1150\n 6  11.10   Hasselborg  74.4   10.4     +650\n 5  11.12   Fleury      74.6    9.9     +575\n 7  10.97   Fujisawa    62.9    6.6     +900\n 8  10.72   Jones       53.0    3.4     +900\n 9  10.71   Peterson    52.9    3.3    +1600 \n10  10.71   E Kim       46.2    3.2    +2000\n15  10.33   M Kim       30.6    1.0    +2000\n20  10.20   Gim         22.5    0.5    +3500\n27   9.95   Yoshimura   19.0    0.4    +5000\n30   9.92   Rocque      16.5    0.3    +3500\n29   9.93   Wran\u00e5       14.0    0.3    +5000\n31   9.92   Koana       17.1    0.2   +10000 <\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p>The CB odds column is the odds posted for each team at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coolbet.com\/en\/sports\/curling\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">coolbet.com<\/a> as of 7PM Monday night. The biggest value here is on Team Tirinzoni, followed by Team Homan and Team Kovaleva. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now the men&#8217;s side:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted prob-table\"><strong>Rk  Rating  Team       Playoffs Title  CB odds<\/strong>\n 1  11.59   Mouat        86.6%  23.6%    +400\n 2  11.54   Gushue       84.9   20.8     +800\n 3  11.32   Jacobs       79.7   14.2     +400\n 4  11.05   Edin         70.4    8.4     +700\n 5  11.01   De Cruz      63.0    6.8    +1500\n 6  10.94   Koe          59.4    5.7     +700\n 7  10.87   Bottcher     60.3    5.4     +900\n 8  10.86   Dunstone     53.9    4.8    +2000\n10  10.73   Whyte        46.4    3.4    +3500\n11  10.65   McEwen       45.0    2.9    +2000\n13  10.50   Schwaller    39.7    1.8    +3500\n16  10.20   Epping       25.7    0.7    +1800\n18  10.18   Waddell      25.7    0.6    +5000\n19  10.17   Ruohonen     20.6    0.5   +10000\n24  10.03   Gunnlaugson  19.4    0.3    +5000\n22  10.10   Matsumura    19.4    0.3   +10000<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p>There is some small value in King Bruce Mouat, but the real value is in Team Gushue. Gushue&#8217;s played in only one event this season, but <a href=\"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/season_results\/47\/2022\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">won it without a loss<\/a>. And the field was pretty decent, too. He beat two teams in this field and Glenn Howard, the best team not at the Masters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If I could legally bet on such things and had adequate funding, I&#8217;d put a million dollars on Homan and Gushue and $100,000 on Ross Whyte, who has decent value as a long-shot and has played quite well this season, going 7-5 against this field. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Not much time for me this week so I&#8217;ll just leave you with some probability tables based on the latest ratings for the first slam of the season, the Masters. (Naming the slams after golf tournaments is my least favorite thing about the slams, BTW.) It&#8217;s a triple-knockout format leading to an 8-team playoff. Here [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[9],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1058"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1058"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1058\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1073,"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1058\/revisions\/1073"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1058"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1058"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/doubletakeout.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1058"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}